[Sports] The Break Down: UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson

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October 1st marks the UFC’s  6th free show on the Versus Network. This time for the Bantamweight Championship. Like MOST “free” fights this card isn’t stocked full of jaw dropping action but there is some interesting bouts being made.

Here are my main card predictions.

Light-Weight Match: Matt Wiman (13-6 MMA, 7-4 UFC) vs Mac Danzig ( 20-8-1 MMA, 4-4 UFC) 

This fight is a rematch after the controversial UFC 115. Recap: Wiman had Danzig in a choke. Danzig didnt tap, nor pass-out BUT the ref stopped the fight? 0_o.. Someone should have kicked that ref’s ass!! But they didnt, instead they will have a rematch a year in the making.  Danzig hasn’t fought since December 2010, where he won Knock Out of the Night honors, and Wiman is coming off a lost to Dennis Siver.  Danzig loses to just about everyone good, and Wiman hasn’t truly been tested. I guess the question is Wiman good? I don’t really think so, but he’s probably better than Danzig. Wiman by unanimous decision.

 

Welterweight Match: Anthony  Johnson (9-3 MMA, 6-3 UFC) vs Charlie Brenneman (14-2 MMA, 3-1UFC)

Charlie Brenneman got catapulted into the spotlight after his last-minute-replacement-victory over Rick Story at UFC Live Kongo vs Barry. Rick was starting his campaign for a title shot & Charlie, who shouldn’t have been a problem came and shut all that shit down. Now on to a bigger test. Anthony “Rumble” Johnson. Mr. I fight at 170 but I look like this when I’m not training.

Seriously guys he goes from THAT to this every time he fights…

GROOOSSSSSSS!!!!! But more importantly 6 outta 9 of  Big Ant’ny’s wins comes via knockout.  Yep Heavyweight Knockout power in a 170lbs frame (though he probably weighs more like 190 when he finally steps inside the ring). Good Luck to Charlie, but I think his luck has ran out. Fat Boy via 2nd round KO.


Heavy-Weight Match: Pat Barry (6 – 3 MMA, 3-3 UFC) vs Stephan Struve ( 21-5 MMA, 5-3 UFC)

I thought the UFC didnt do “freak show fights”  0_o  I kid, I kid but hey, with 1ft height difference, what type of joke am I supposed to make? Pat Barry is coming off one of the craziest knock out losses of ALL TIME. You totally cannot watch it by clicking on the video below. And the password isnt mma. Struve is pretty much in the same boat, losing via Superman Punch at UFC 130.

[vimeo 25677147]

Pat Barry is most def a cool guy, and one of the most celebrated and lovable characters in MMA today. I always bet on him and I always lose. He has great “potential” his kickboxing record boasts 18 wins & 6 losses, but when it comes to stringing together wins in the Octagon, he’s more than a little iffy. Struve has 3 losses in his UFC record which include hard-headed Roy Nelson, Heavy-Weight title challenger Junior Dos Santos and undefeated Travis Browne. 3 losses I wouldn’t be ashamed of.

So whose gonna win? Well this match-up is tailored for Barry. If he takes a deep breath, and let go of all the nerves he should be able to kick the shit outta Struve until his footwork and movement are slowed to a crawl. Once that happens Barry’s heavy hands should make short work of the rest. Is that gonna happen? If you watched the video above then you know that anything can freaking happen. If Struve uses his height and reach to his advantage, Barry might be in for a long night. Pat is due for a win if he’s tryin to keep his win/loss pattern going but he has hurt my pockets way too much. I’m gonna have to go with Struve via 2nd Round Submission….

Bantamweight Championship: Dominick Cruz (c) (18 – 1 MMA, 1-0 UFC) vs Demitirous Johnson (9 – 1, 2-0 UFC)

Now this is the first free Championship match since UFC 95. Which is yaay in its self. I just watched Dominick Cruz avenge his only loss to one of my favorite fighters, Uriah Faber at UFC 132. With that being said, I still wasn’t very impressed. Outside of the Brian Bowles Doctor stoppage in early 2010, Cruz hasn’t finished a fight since ZZzzzzzzzzzz… *yawns* Oh I’m sorry, Cruz hasn’t finished a fight since 2008. Is the least respected UFC champion getting any respect here? Nope. Will he? Sure, if he puts on a show against. Demitirous Johnson.

Cruz is arguable the fastest fighter in the UFC quick, crisp stand-up with great faints and footwork. Mighty Mouse, in the odds-maker’s eyes doesn’t stand a chance. I’ll look at it like this. Dominick has 11 decision victories, 6 knock out victories, one submission victory & one submission loss. Demitirous has 4 submission wins, 3 decisions and 2 knock outs, his only lost being via decision. If the fight goes the distance, Cruz remains the Bantamweight Champion. If Johnson can cut through the stand up, be aggressive and use his grappling to his advantage, I see a submission victory for Johnson.  BUT I wouldn’t bet on it. I see this being a back and forth battle Demitirous wearing on Cruz during the later rounds, but not enough to pull off a decisive victory. Cruz by Zzzzzzz… I mean, Split Decision

 

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